The general consensus among scouts is that his bat is MLB ready now and that his development with the glove is what would prevent him from making the leap. The second argument against him debuting in 2018 is related to his work in the field.

Sheryl Ring wrote about a possible legal case against service time manipulation, and it will no doubt be a major factor in the decision on when Guererro Jr. There has been a lot published on the service time issue, and it could be changing within the next CBA. We can completely rule that out, as there is no chance he would make the Opening Day roster, so the question becomes can they wait until May of 2019 to bring him up? In theory, Vlad's age 26 or age 27 season will be better than his age 19 or age 20 season, so in order to gain the most value over the course of his first six years, it makes sense to hold off as long as possible. If he accrues more than 172 days of service time in 2018, he would become a free agent at the age of 25. If the Jays wait until around May of 2019, they will gain an extra year of club control, and that extra year will come during his prime years. making his debut in 2018 is service time. Thus far, they have been playing him alongside fellow top prospect Bo Bichette, where they have moved up levels together and are slated to begin 2018 in AA with the New Hampshire Fisher Cats.

It's likely that the plan was always to have him up next year, where the team currently doesn't have a third baseman under contract. The realistic time of arrival would be in 2019, where he will be 20 years old and have a bit more seasoning under his belt. Let's start by making the case against him. Here is why he's ready to take on his next challenge, debuting in the MLB as a 19-year-old. It feels like he has been around forever because he signed so young, but he is meeting and surpassing all challenges thus far in his young career. Well, here's one of those articles, as he has been making some noise in Spring Training and is pushing to finally make his debut in the MLB after signing as a 16-year-old for $3.9 million. His first taste of a major league diamond.īack when I talked about Prospect Week at FanGraphs, I mentioned that I could write about Vladimir Guererro Jr.

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